●○○ MediumUSD pairsXAUUSDUS30US500US100
US CB Consumer Confidence (Oct; fc 80.5, prev 81.9)
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Updated Mon 26 Oct 2026, 10:15 PM IST
Nasdaq 100 29291.27
Up about 1.2% as Anthropic's IPO filing lifts AI stocks, off a +1.5% high; Tesla +6.0%, Nvidia +2.2%, Microsoft +1.1% (Trading Economics, ~10:10 PM IST)
◆ Neutral, event-driven
Fell 3% on Thu 22 Oct after Nvidia's Jensen Huang said "the demand for capital is much greater than the availability of capital" (The Telegraph). The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7% on the week (AP).
AI-spending doubts after Meta's results and the Huang comments; Microsoft and Alphabet (Wed after the close) and Amazon (Thu) decide whether that eases.
No verified non-broker levels this run.
▲ Resistance:
▼ Support:
Short term: Microsoft and Alphabet results Thu ~1:30 AM IST, Amazon Fri ~1:30 AM IST, around FOMC.
Medium term: AI capex guidance and yields set the trend.
Risks: Gap risk on earnings; a hawkish Fed hits long-duration tech hardest.
●○○ MediumUSD pairsXAUUSDUS30US500US100
Trade through it at reduced size
●●● CriticalAll instrumentsincl. US30US500US100
The key catalyst of the week; no new risk beforehand
●●● CriticalAll instrumentsincl. US30US500US100
First move often reverses here
●●○ HighUS100US500BTCUSDUSDJPYAUDUSD (risk mood)
Tech risk-mood test after last week's AI sell-off
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Wait for release
●○○ MediumUS100US500BTCUSDUSDJPY (risk mood)
Watch AI-capex guidance
3Rates & central banks22-23 Oct 2026
What it meansThere will be no hike on Wednesday, but a December hike is almost fully priced. Warsh's tone decides the next move in yields, the USD, gold and BTC.
Market reaction10-year Treasury yield back below 5% on 26 Oct after ending last week at 5% (FXStreet); dollar index 101.80, little changed (Reuters)
The Fed funds range is 3.75-4.00% after a September hike (12-0 vote). In a Reuters poll (16-20 Oct), 94 of 100 economists expect a hold on 28 Oct and all 100 expect a December hike. September CPI was 3.7% y/y (core 2.6%).
All USD pairsXAUUSDBTCUSDSource: Reuters via MarketScreener; FXStreet
4Market fundamentals22-23 Oct 2026 (CryptoTicker 23 Oct 11:45 AM IST)
What it meansAI-spending doubts flipped markets to risk-off. That helps the yen and franc and hurts Bitcoin and AUD/NZD.
Market reactionNasdaq 100 -3% on 22 Oct (The Telegraph); S&P 500 -1.2% to 7,663 (Yahoo Finance)
Several megacap tech companies missed expectations, and Tesla cut its spending forecast, which markets read as a warning on the AI and data-centre investment cycle. The Nasdaq fell 2.6% on Thursday; the Dow fell 1.2% on Friday.
US100US500USDJPYUSDCHFBTCUSDAUDUSDNZDUSDSource: The Telegraph via AOL; Yahoo Finance
6Market fundamentals26 Oct 2026, ~5:20 PM IST (Reuters)
What it meansMeta is funding AI with shares rather than debt. The stock fell 1.6% at the open on dilution, but chipmakers (possible buyers of the shares) rose, so the Nasdaq 100 still opened higher.
Market reactionPre-market gains of about 1-2% (Quartz; ZeroHedge citing Bloomberg, near 5:45 PM IST) faded: META was -0.7% at 6:35 PM IST (Reuters) and -1.52% to $632.83 at 7:40 PM IST (StockAnalysis), with a low of $629.02. It then recovered to $643.18 (+0.09%) by 9:05 PM IST (StockAnalysis); Invezz also reported the dip and recovery.
Meta launched public offerings of about $35B: roughly $22.5B of Class A stock (via forward sales with Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs) and $12.5B of mandatory convertible preferred. A further at-the-market programme of up to $60B is planned once new non-voting Class C shares start trading, expected in Q1 2027. Nvidia, AMD and Broadcom indicated non-binding interest in up to $5B of the shares. Context: Q3 free cash flow was -$2.12B, Meta's first negative quarter in over ten years, and 2026 capex guidance is $135-145B (Reuters; Quartz; SEC shelf filing).
7Market fundamentals26 Oct 2026, ~6:45 PM IST (Reuters)
What it meansAn AI sentiment boost for US100 at the open, not a trade signal. Note: this dashboard is produced with Claude, an Anthropic model; the story is included only because of the measured futures move.
Market reactionNasdaq 100 e-minis +0.6%, S&P 500 e-minis +0.34% and Dow e-minis +0.4% at 6:35 PM IST (Reuters). After the open: S&P 500 +0.33% at 6:52 PM IST and +0.97% at 8:23 PM IST (TheStreet); Nasdaq 100 +1.48% to 29,384.81 near 9:10 PM IST (Trading Economics CFD). Nvidia +2.6% at 9:11 PM IST (StockAnalysis). Gains faded later: Nasdaq 100 +1.15% to 29,291.27 and S&P 500 +0.77% near 10:10 PM IST (Trading Economics); Yahoo Finance had the S&P 500 +0.67% at 10:11 PM IST.
AI developer Anthropic made its IPO registration public on Monday, pressing ahead with a listing even though the autumn IPO calendar has thinned on volatility (Reuters). Quartz reports the S-1 is for a Nasdaq listing under the ticker ANT. The filing lands in a week when about a third of S&P 500 companies report, including Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon.
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