Wall Street opened higher after e-minis rose (Nasdaq 100 +0.6%, Reuters 6:35 PM IST) as Anthropic made its IPO filing public; Nvidia +2.2% and Tesla +5.3% early, but Meta fell 1.6% on its $35B stock sale (StockAnalysis). Gold holds about $4,024 (+0.7%, FXStreet) and WTI near $101 on Iran mediation. Bitcoin slipped back under $80,000 (about $79,600). Plan levels are unchanged; no trade has an edge before FOMC (Wed 11:30 PM IST).
Only news that moved prices, sorted by type. Red dots show impact out of five. Tap a story for the full breakdown.
●●● critical · ●●○ high · ●○○ medium. Times are IST. Past events are dimmed.
Bias is conditional. Confidence is qualitative because no calibrated probabilities exist for these setups. Tap an instrument in the tape above for its full analysis.
| Instrument | Most important news | Expected bias | Impact horizon | Confidence |
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Each story passed the filter: high impact, a named source and a price move you can check. They are ranked by impact; the red stripe marks the top three. Stories that failed the filter, including policy changes with no reaction yet, are under Filtered out.
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Every verified driver, sorted by which way it pushes. Weight is a judgement of how much each matters this week.
These are scenarios, not forecasts. Each says what the outcome would likely do to price and how the plan responds.
Tick each item as it happens. Only consider the trade when every box is ticked. Ticks are not saved.
The dot is the reference price; green ticks are support and red ticks are resistance. Levels: —
The most-traded US mega-caps. Each card shows the last close, the latest news that moved the stock with its measured price reaction, and the next earnings date, all with sources.
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Every setup activates only after its event has passed. Reward:risk is computed from the entry, stop and targets shown, before spread and slippage. Under 1.5R to TP1 means you need a better fill or a partial exit at TP1.
| Instrument | Action | Status | Activation condition | Invalidation | Entry | Stop | TP1 | TP2 | Reward:risk | Hold | Main news risk |
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Your account size and broker contract specs are unknown, so no lot size is assumed. Lots = (equity × risk%) ÷ ((stop distance + costs) × value of a 1.0 price move per lot).
Implied or historical volatility could not be verified, so no range is published. Enter the annualised volatility from your platform. Expected move ≈ price × vol × √(days ÷ year). The result is a ±1σ band (about 68% of outcomes) and says nothing about direction.
Bitcoin uses a 365-day year; everything else uses 252 trading days.
0.5% of equity per trade. The gold-short and USD/JPY-short ideas offset on rates but stack on risk-off. Size them together.
Every BUY or SELL (conditional) plan is logged when it is issued. Each refresh grades it from cited prices: half closes at TP1 with the stop moved to entry, the rest at TP2 or entry; a stop before TP1 is −1R. Results are in R (multiples of the risk taken), so 0.5% risk at +2R is +1% of equity.
| Issued (IST) | Instrument | Side | Trigger | Entry | Stop | TP1 | TP2 | Status | Result (R) | Closed (IST) | How it was graded |
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Several ideas can be the same bet in disguise. This maps each conditional idea to the macro factors it is exposed to. The mapping is structural (how each trade makes money), not a measured correlation, because verified correlation data was not available. Tick the ideas you plan to take; each one counts as 0.5% risk.
| Take? | Instrument | Idea | US dollar | US rates | Risk mood | Oil | What it really bets on |
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The sum of signed risk per factor. Red means more than 1% of equity is riding on a single factor.
Scheduled events that can move prices, in Indian Standard Time. The BoJ has no fixed release time and some times are estimates (marked ~). Each event links to the official source. The live calendar below shows actual results the moment they are released.
The dashboard refreshes hourly in the London and New York sessions (12:10 PM to 2:10 AM IST on weekdays), every 4 hours otherwise, and 10 minutes after each High or Critical release. For the release itself, use a fast feed below.
This is the filter at work: news with no verifiable reaction, unverified claims, and places where sources disagree.
| Type | Item | Why | Source |
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